How Trump's pre-jobs report tweet moved the market


Eagle eye traders early on Friday sold their holdings of the U.S. 10-year note after President Donald Trump hinted in a 7:21 a.m. tweet that the May jobs report would be better than expected.

President Donald Trump will likely take credit for the new numbers released Friday.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics announced at 8.30am that the USA had added 223,000 new jobs in May as the unemployment rate slid t0 3.8%, its lowest level since April 2000 and one of the lowest levels since after the second world war.

Obama officials chimed in as well, with former Council of Economic Advisers chairman Jason Furman tweeting: "You should have gotten the employment numbers from the Council of Economic Advisers yesterday".

The economic data released by the Federal Government, which includes not just the monthly jobs reports but also reports on consumer spending, orders for "durable goods", quarterly estimates of Gross National Product and other pieces of information are often considered to be especially significant to traders on Wall Street.

A positive jobs report does not necessarily mean the stock market will go up, as investors could see it as a signal that the Federal Reserve will move more aggressively to raise interest rates in an effort to keep the economy from overheating. The tweet certainly suggested that a good number was coming. Friday's tweet, however, was the first time he's ever spoken about the job's report before it was released.

Gold extended its declines, while bond yields moved higher after Trump's tweet.

Spicer said at the time that his understanding of the rule was that it was created to avoid affecting the stock market and noted that he was only tweeting the headline numbers that news organizations around the world already had reported.

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If Trump did see the numbers, his tweet may have violated a federal rule, issued in 1985, governing the release of embargoed federal data like the jobs report. "The advance info is sacrosanct - not to be shared", he wrote.

Kudlow said on CNBC.

Tony Fratto, a Treasury Department official who worked in George W. Bush's administration, said that while not illegal, Trump's tease could be deemed inappropriate because "you want market participants to get their data from their government in predictable, official ways, not haphazard ones".

Former U.S. Attorney Preet Bharara appeared to call for a congressional inquiry into the tweet, saying lawmakers had "the constitutional authority to investigate".

During the 2016 campaign, when Trump, the Republican presidential nominee, and Hillary Clinton, the Democratic nominee, both became eligible to receive classified briefings, some intelligence officials also expressed reservations about sharing sensitive information with Trump. "It's closely held and misuse of it leads to dismissal".

The answer to this question is clearly that we can not be sure that this hasn't or wouldn't happen thanks to the fact that this President has already violated almost every other norm that applied in the past.

Trump has tried to tie the success of his presidency to the success of the economy. Asked if he'll share it with Trump ahead of time again, Kudlow responded, "I have no idea". That was higher than the growth of 188,000 positions that economists had expected.