A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from Intracoastal City, Louisiana, to the Mouth of the Pearl River.
A broad surface low forming in the Gulf of Honduras has a high chance of developing into a tropical depression or storm that could threaten Texas, according to the National Weather Service.
Right now, it is centered about 125 miles southeast of Trinidad or 225 miles southeast of Grenada, and moving to the west-northwest at 30 mph.More news: Observe the Analyst's Thoughts:: Novadaq Technologies Inc. (NVDQ)
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At best, this system could strengthen into a Tropical Storm but the real threat will be flooding. Hurricane Hunter aircraft are investigating on Monday afternoon as the disturbance moves northward toward the Louisiana coast at 7kts. Regardless of the track of its center, widespread rain will likely be the primary concern for much of the Gulf coast starting late Tuesday and continuing through late week.
The system will continue moving northward in the coming days and should stay far enough west of Southwest Florida to not be a huge issue for us. It is now producing 40 miles per hour sustained winds as it moves west at 23 miles per hour. Some areas could see isolated heavy rain.
Total rainfall on Tuesday is expected to be between two and four inches over the Windward Islands.
The wind shear is expected to increase in the days ahead, which could cause this future tropical storm to dissipate or weaken in the Caribbean by mid-week.